Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 17.620672 20.498325 23.645250 27.335071 31.535517 36.160835 41.631956
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 13.856379 18.048137 23.101356 29.605282 37.714074 47.446886 59.965446
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 10.841663 15.467351 21.493689 29.836891 40.991149 55.279189 74.836864
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.621250 13.300189 19.812025 29.395927 42.970024 61.304461 87.690644
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.907685 11.436910 18.124457 28.514030 43.989934 65.872212 98.742643
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.818205 10.264561 17.185187 28.461997 46.014171 71.832504 112.063664
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.018660 9.388810 16.527755 28.674962 48.343866 78.312706 126.550360
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.027636 8.006928 14.838840 26.987832 47.460006 79.771832 133.484242
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.650135 7.635561 14.767146 27.918936 50.815683 88.003128 151.448284
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.406605 7.467388 15.013646 29.396536 55.182018 98.145672 173.158831
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.910706 6.720908 14.103337 28.691762 55.694268 101.947139 184.735679
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.418731 5.892513 12.917099 27.317488 54.843931 103.318312 192.258344
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.297883 5.861257 13.334123 29.136176 60.168903 116.094820 220.837087
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.222397 5.926331 13.970732 31.493071 66.798034 131.826216 255.991652
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.969537 5.530294 13.582667 31.728451 69.372939 140.444168 279.135986
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.700373 5.037345 12.904685 31.260499 70.487295 146.416290 297.866527
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.441721 4.512983 12.068408 30.327947 70.530465 150.312464 312.950423
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.273252 4.191851 11.654771 30.272869 72.375728 157.806455 335.356436
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.141684 3.944798 11.381052 30.497978 74.828283 166.665823 360.992756
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.933146 3.420610 10.321052 28.714271 72.668585 166.007006 367.764726
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.871731 3.335385 10.393161 29.698746 76.829565 178.677965 402.158726
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.837478 3.330651 10.682119 31.260673 82.461468 194.828780 444.674472
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.723564 3.031200 10.103153 30.515733 82.592910 199.231973 463.114048